PLAYOFF PREDICTION
NE DCMP Burns (2026necmp1) — predicted alliance selection & bracket from Monte Carlo (OPR), picks by EPA+OPR
Predicted Alliances
| Seed | Captain OPR (OPR rank) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | EPA+OPR str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 |
125 NUTRONs
OPR 337.8 (1)
|
1768 Nashoba Robotics
decline?
OPR 267.2 (3)
|
8709 Pathfinder Tech
decline?
OPR 104.3 (24)
|
646.1 |
| A2 |
5687 The Outliers
OPR 293.3 (2)
|
571 Paragon Robotics
decline?
OPR 251.8 (4)
|
175 Buzz Robotics
decline?
OPR 114.5 (20)
|
603.6 |
| A3 |
133 B.E.R.T.
OPR 181.8 (11)
|
5813 Morpheus
decline?
OPR 197.5 (8)
|
4311 Swampscott Currents
decline?
OPR 97.6 (27)
|
452.3 |
| A4 |
131 CHAOS
OPR 202.8 (6)
|
2067 Apple Pi
decline?
OPR 188.7 (9)
|
4905 Andromeda One
decline?
OPR 113.1 (21)
|
448.2 |
| A5 |
5000 HAMMERHEADS
OPR 226.4 (5)
|
10254 Regal Seagulls
decline?
OPR 184.3 (10)
|
1512 The Big Red
decline?
OPR 102.6 (26)
|
482.6 |
| A6 |
1058 PVC Pirates
OPR 129.7 (19)
|
6324 The Blue Devils
decline?
OPR 164.4 (12)
|
3146 GRANBY GRUNTS
decline?
OPR 102.8 (25)
|
400.8 |
| A7 |
2713 Red Hawk Robotics
OPR 153.0 (14)
|
2370 IBOTS
decline?
OPR 143.8 (16)
|
58 The Riot Crew
decline?
OPR 112.1 (22)
|
398.9 |
| A8 |
1073 The Force Team
OPR 136.0 (17)
|
236 Techno-Ticks
decline?
OPR 158.8 (13)
|
8724 Mayhem
decline?
OPR 150.5 (15)
|
427.8 |
Predicted Declines
forced
5687 The Outliers OPR 293.3 (2)
would decline A1 (captain 125 OPR 337.8 (1)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 285.2 vs captain 306.5, best alt 245.1]
forced
5000 HAMMERHEADS OPR 226.4 (5)
would decline A3 (captain 133 OPR 181.8 (11)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 209.0 vs captain 167.4, best alt 202.4]
forced
195 CyberKnights OPR 198.7 (7)
would decline A3 (captain 133 OPR 181.8 (11)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 202.4 vs captain 167.4, best alt 186.8]
forced
2079 4H ALARM Robotics OPR 131.5 (18)
would decline A7 (captain 2713 OPR 153.0 (14)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 126.2 vs captain 145.0, best alt 105.6]
🏆
Predicted Event Winner
Alliance 1 —
125, 1768, 8709
Playoff Bracket (double elimination)
| Match | Matchup | Win prob | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | A1 (646.1) vs A8 (427.8) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 2 | A4 (448.2) vs A5 (482.6) | 9% / 91% | A5 |
| Match 3 | A2 (603.6) vs A7 (398.9) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 4 | A3 (452.3) vs A6 (400.8) | 97% / 3% | A3 |
| Match 5 · Lower | A8 (427.8) vs A4 (448.2) | 20% / 80% | A4 |
| Match 6 · Lower | A7 (398.9) vs A6 (400.8) | 47% / 53% | A6 |
| Match 7 · Upper | A1 (646.1) vs A5 (482.6) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 8 · Upper | A2 (603.6) vs A3 (452.3) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 9 · Lower | A4 (448.2) vs A3 (452.3) | 43% / 57% | A3 |
| Match 10 · Lower | A6 (400.8) vs A5 (482.6) | 0% / 100% | A5 |
| Match 11 · Upper Final | A1 (646.1) vs A2 (603.6) | 94% / 6% | A1 |
| Match 12 · Lower | A3 (452.3) vs A5 (482.6) | 12% / 88% | A5 |
| Match 13 · Lower Final | A2 (603.6) vs A5 (482.6) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Finals | A1 (646.1) vs A2 (603.6) | 94% / 6% | A1 |
Predicted Event Standings
| Place | Alliance | Teams |
|---|---|---|
| 1st 🥇 | A1 | 125, 1768, 8709 |
| 2nd 🥈 | A2 | 5687, 571, 175 |
| 3rd 🥉 | A5 | 5000, 10254, 1512 |
| 4th | A3 | 133, 5813, 4311 |
| 5–6 | A4 | 131, 2067, 4905 |
| 5–6 | A6 | 1058, 6324, 3146 |
| 7–8 | A7 | 2713, 2370, 58 |
| 7–8 | A8 | 1073, 236, 8724 |
Captains = top 8 by predicted rank; picks go to the best-available team by EPA+OPR following the event's snake draft order. A pick is predicted to decline only when the selecting captain is clearly weak and the pick would still secure a captaincy with an obviously stronger partner. Playoff results are deterministic (stronger alliance advances); percentages are win probabilities.