PLAYOFF PREDICTION
NE DCMP Burns (2026necmp1) — predicted alliance selection & bracket from Monte Carlo (OPR), picks by EPA+OPR
Predicted Alliances
| Seed | Captain OPR (OPR rank) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | EPA+OPR str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 |
125 NUTRONs
OPR 337.8 (1)
|
571 Paragon Robotics
decline?
OPR 251.8 (4)
|
4311 Swampscott Currents
decline?
OPR 97.6 (27)
|
625.2 |
| A2 |
5687 The Outliers
OPR 293.3 (2)
|
5000 HAMMERHEADS
decline?
OPR 226.4 (5)
|
4905 Andromeda One
decline?
OPR 113.1 (21)
|
592.5 |
| A3 |
1768 Nashoba Robotics
OPR 267.2 (3)
|
195 CyberKnights
decline?
OPR 198.7 (7)
|
1512 The Big Red
decline?
OPR 102.6 (26)
|
546.6 |
| A4 |
133 B.E.R.T.
OPR 181.8 (11)
|
5813 Morpheus
decline?
OPR 197.5 (8)
|
3146 GRANBY GRUNTS
decline?
OPR 102.8 (25)
|
456.5 |
| A5 |
131 CHAOS
OPR 202.8 (6)
|
2067 Apple Pi
decline?
OPR 188.7 (9)
|
58 The Riot Crew
decline?
OPR 112.1 (22)
|
455.5 |
| A6 |
10254 Regal Seagulls
OPR 184.3 (10)
|
6324 The Blue Devils
decline?
OPR 164.4 (12)
|
2079 4H ALARM Robotics
decline?
OPR 131.5 (18)
|
463.2 |
| A7 |
1058 PVC Pirates
OPR 129.7 (19)
|
2370 IBOTS
decline?
OPR 143.8 (16)
|
8724 Mayhem
decline?
OPR 150.5 (15)
|
419.4 |
| A8 |
2713 Red Hawk Robotics
OPR 153.0 (14)
|
236 Techno-Ticks
decline?
OPR 158.8 (13)
|
1073 The Force Team
decline?
OPR 136.0 (17)
|
437.6 |
Predicted Declines
forced
5687 The Outliers OPR 293.3 (2)
would decline A1 (captain 125 OPR 337.8 (1)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 285.2 vs captain 306.5, best alt 245.1]
forced
1768 Nashoba Robotics OPR 267.2 (3)
would decline A1 (captain 125 OPR 337.8 (1)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 245.1 vs captain 306.5, best alt 220.5]
🏆
Predicted Event Winner
Alliance 1 —
125, 571, 4311
Playoff Bracket (double elimination)
| Match | Matchup | Win prob | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | A1 (625.2) vs A8 (437.6) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 2 | A4 (456.5) vs A5 (455.5) | 52% / 48% | A4 |
| Match 3 | A2 (592.5) vs A7 (419.4) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 4 | A3 (546.6) vs A6 (463.2) | 100% / 0% | A3 |
| Match 5 · Lower | A8 (437.6) vs A5 (455.5) | 23% / 77% | A5 |
| Match 6 · Lower | A7 (419.4) vs A6 (463.2) | 5% / 95% | A6 |
| Match 7 · Upper | A1 (625.2) vs A4 (456.5) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 8 · Upper | A2 (592.5) vs A3 (546.6) | 96% / 4% | A2 |
| Match 9 · Lower | A5 (455.5) vs A3 (546.6) | 0% / 100% | A3 |
| Match 10 · Lower | A6 (463.2) vs A4 (456.5) | 61% / 39% | A6 |
| Match 11 · Upper Final | A1 (625.2) vs A2 (592.5) | 90% / 10% | A1 |
| Match 12 · Lower | A3 (546.6) vs A6 (463.2) | 100% / 0% | A3 |
| Match 13 · Lower Final | A2 (592.5) vs A3 (546.6) | 96% / 4% | A2 |
| Finals | A1 (625.2) vs A2 (592.5) | 90% / 10% | A1 |
Predicted Event Standings
| Place | Alliance | Teams |
|---|---|---|
| 1st 🥇 | A1 | 125, 571, 4311 |
| 2nd 🥈 | A2 | 5687, 5000, 4905 |
| 3rd 🥉 | A3 | 1768, 195, 1512 |
| 4th | A6 | 10254, 6324, 2079 |
| 5–6 | A4 | 133, 5813, 3146 |
| 5–6 | A5 | 131, 2067, 58 |
| 7–8 | A7 | 1058, 2370, 8724 |
| 7–8 | A8 | 2713, 236, 1073 |
Captains = top 8 by predicted rank; picks go to the best-available team by EPA+OPR following the event's snake draft order. A pick is predicted to decline only when the selecting captain is clearly weak and the pick would still secure a captaincy with an obviously stronger partner. Playoff results are deterministic (stronger alliance advances); percentages are win probabilities.