PLAYOFF PREDICTION
NE DCMP Burns (2026necmp1) — predicted alliance selection & bracket from Monte Carlo (OPR), picks by EPA+OPR
Predicted Alliances
| Seed | Captain OPR (OPR rank) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | EPA+OPR str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 |
125 NUTRONs
OPR 337.8 (1)
|
5687 The Outliers
decline?
OPR 293.3 (2)
|
78 AIR STRIKE
decline?
OPR 74.5 (32)
|
681.1 |
| A2 |
1768 Nashoba Robotics
OPR 267.2 (3)
|
5000 HAMMERHEADS
decline?
OPR 226.4 (5)
|
8709 Pathfinder Tech
decline?
OPR 104.3 (24)
|
548.6 |
| A3 |
133 B.E.R.T.
OPR 181.8 (11)
|
5813 Morpheus
decline?
OPR 197.5 (8)
|
175 Buzz Robotics
decline?
OPR 114.5 (20)
|
452.1 |
| A4 |
131 CHAOS
OPR 202.8 (6)
|
2067 Apple Pi
decline?
OPR 188.7 (9)
|
4311 Swampscott Currents
decline?
OPR 97.6 (27)
|
448.0 |
| A5 |
10254 Regal Seagulls
OPR 184.3 (10)
|
6324 The Blue Devils
decline?
OPR 164.4 (12)
|
4905 Andromeda One
decline?
OPR 113.1 (21)
|
435.4 |
| A6 |
1058 PVC Pirates
OPR 129.7 (19)
|
2370 IBOTS
decline?
OPR 143.8 (16)
|
1512 The Big Red
decline?
OPR 102.6 (26)
|
383.4 |
| A7 |
571 Paragon Robotics
OPR 251.8 (4)
|
236 Techno-Ticks
decline?
OPR 158.8 (13)
|
58 The Riot Crew
decline?
OPR 112.1 (22)
|
474.3 |
| A8 |
2713 Red Hawk Robotics
OPR 153.0 (14)
|
1073 The Force Team
decline?
OPR 136.0 (17)
|
2079 4H ALARM Robotics
decline?
OPR 131.5 (18)
|
415.6 |
Predicted Declines
forced
571 Paragon Robotics OPR 251.8 (4)
would decline A2 (captain 1768 OPR 267.2 (3)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 220.5 vs captain 245.1, best alt 209.0]
forced
195 CyberKnights OPR 198.7 (7)
would decline A3 (captain 133 OPR 181.8 (11)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 202.4 vs captain 167.4, best alt 186.8]
forced
8724 Mayhem OPR 150.5 (15)
would decline A8 (captain 2713 OPR 153.0 (14)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 135.2 vs captain 145.0, best alt 126.2]
forced
3146 GRANBY GRUNTS OPR 102.8 (25)
would decline A6 (captain 1058 OPR 129.7 (19)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 102.3 vs captain 135.9, best alt 99.1]
🏆
Predicted Event Winner
Alliance 1 —
125, 5687, 78
Playoff Bracket (double elimination)
| Match | Matchup | Win prob | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | A1 (681.1) vs A8 (415.6) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 2 | A4 (448.0) vs A5 (435.4) | 70% / 30% | A4 |
| Match 3 | A2 (548.6) vs A7 (474.3) | 99% / 1% | A2 |
| Match 4 | A3 (452.1) vs A6 (383.4) | 99% / 1% | A3 |
| Match 5 · Lower | A8 (415.6) vs A5 (435.4) | 21% / 79% | A5 |
| Match 6 · Lower | A7 (474.3) vs A6 (383.4) | 100% / 0% | A7 |
| Match 7 · Upper | A1 (681.1) vs A4 (448.0) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 8 · Upper | A2 (548.6) vs A3 (452.1) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 9 · Lower | A5 (435.4) vs A3 (452.1) | 25% / 75% | A3 |
| Match 10 · Lower | A7 (474.3) vs A4 (448.0) | 85% / 15% | A7 |
| Match 11 · Upper Final | A1 (681.1) vs A2 (548.6) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 12 · Lower | A3 (452.1) vs A7 (474.3) | 19% / 81% | A7 |
| Match 13 · Lower Final | A2 (548.6) vs A7 (474.3) | 99% / 1% | A2 |
| Finals | A1 (681.1) vs A2 (548.6) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
Predicted Event Standings
| Place | Alliance | Teams |
|---|---|---|
| 1st 🥇 | A1 | 125, 5687, 78 |
| 2nd 🥈 | A2 | 1768, 5000, 8709 |
| 3rd 🥉 | A7 | 571, 236, 58 |
| 4th | A3 | 133, 5813, 175 |
| 5–6 | A4 | 131, 2067, 4311 |
| 5–6 | A5 | 10254, 6324, 4905 |
| 7–8 | A6 | 1058, 2370, 1512 |
| 7–8 | A8 | 2713, 1073, 2079 |
Captains = top 8 by predicted rank; picks go to the best-available team by EPA+OPR following the event's snake draft order. A pick is predicted to decline only when the selecting captain is clearly weak and the pick would still secure a captaincy with an obviously stronger partner. Playoff results are deterministic (stronger alliance advances); percentages are win probabilities.