PLAYOFF PREDICTION
indiana robotics invitational (2026iri) — predicted alliance selection & bracket from Monte Carlo (OPR), picks by EPA+OPR
Predicted Alliances
| Seed | Captain OPR (OPR rank) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | EPA+OPR str. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 |
5687 The Outliers
OPR 294.5 (5)
|
2481 Roboteers
decline?
OPR 305.7 (3)
|
1732 Hilltopper Robotics
decline?
OPR 193.0 (16)
|
469 Las Guerrillas
decline?
OPR 146.7 (34)
|
793.1 |
| A2 |
8044 Denham Venom
OPR 336.7 (1)
|
1261 Robo Lions Team1261
decline?
OPR 279.9 (6)
|
5000 HAMMERHEADS
decline?
OPR 191.4 (18)
|
3176 Purple Precision
decline?
OPR 146.7 (33)
|
808.1 |
| A3 |
2056 OP Robotics
OPR 249.2 (11)
|
67 The HOT Team
decline?
OPR 276.4 (7)
|
1023 Bedford Express
decline?
OPR 188.9 (19)
|
4143 MARS/WARS
decline?
OPR 148.7 (32)
|
714.5 |
| A4 |
10021 Guerin Catholic Golden Gears
OPR 272.0 (9)
|
4028 The Beak Squad
decline?
OPR 275.1 (8)
|
9401 Midas' Mayhem
decline?
OPR 185.4 (20)
|
5907 CC Shambots
decline?
OPR 152.3 (31)
|
732.5 |
| A5 |
3641 The Flying Toasters
OPR 171.7 (24)
|
1706 Ratchet Rockers
decline?
OPR 265.2 (10)
|
8608 Alpha Bots
decline?
OPR 185.0 (21)
|
8085 MOJO
decline?
OPR 153.6 (29)
|
621.9 |
| A6 |
359 Hawaiian Kids
OPR 314.8 (2)
|
9032 RoboWhales
decline?
OPR 238.9 (12)
|
5712 Hemlock's Gray Matter
decline?
OPR 182.6 (22)
|
4499 The Highlanders
decline?
OPR 155.9 (28)
|
736.2 |
| A7 |
1720 PhyXTGears
OPR 152.4 (30)
|
1833 Team BEAN
decline?
OPR 231.3 (14)
|
1918 Newaygo County GEARS
decline?
OPR 177.1 (23)
|
1792 Round Table Robotics
decline?
OPR 156.3 (27)
|
564.8 |
| A8 |
1987 Broncobots
OPR 191.9 (17)
|
7457 suPURDUEper Robotics
decline?
OPR 198.0 (15)
|
195 CyberKnights
decline?
OPR 163.1 (25)
|
7890 SeQuEnCe
decline?
OPR 156.7 (26)
|
552.9 |
Predicted Declines
forced
8044 Denham Venom OPR 336.7 (1)
would decline A1 (captain 5687 OPR 294.5 (5)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 336.7 vs captain 294.5, best alt 314.8]
forced
359 Hawaiian Kids OPR 314.8 (2)
would decline A1 (captain 5687 OPR 294.5 (5)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 314.8 vs captain 294.5, best alt 305.7]
forced
1768 Nashoba Robotics OPR 303.6 (4)
would decline A2 (captain 8044 OPR 336.7 (1)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 303.6 vs captain 336.7, best alt 279.9]
forced
27 Team RUSH OPR 235.6 (13)
would decline A7 (captain 1720 OPR 152.4 (30)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 235.6 vs captain 152.4, best alt 231.3]
🏆
Predicted Event Winner
Alliance 2 —
8044, 1261, 5000, 3176
Playoff Bracket (double elimination)
| Match | Matchup | Win prob | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | A1 (793.1) vs A8 (552.9) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 2 | A4 (732.5) vs A5 (621.9) | 100% / 0% | A4 |
| Match 3 | A2 (808.1) vs A7 (564.8) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 4 | A3 (714.5) vs A6 (736.2) | 19% / 81% | A6 |
| Match 5 · Lower | A8 (552.9) vs A5 (621.9) | 1% / 99% | A5 |
| Match 6 · Lower | A7 (564.8) vs A3 (714.5) | 0% / 100% | A3 |
| Match 7 · Upper | A1 (793.1) vs A4 (732.5) | 98% / 2% | A1 |
| Match 8 · Upper | A2 (808.1) vs A6 (736.2) | 99% / 1% | A2 |
| Match 9 · Lower | A5 (621.9) vs A6 (736.2) | 0% / 100% | A6 |
| Match 10 · Lower | A3 (714.5) vs A4 (732.5) | 23% / 77% | A4 |
| Match 11 · Upper Final | A1 (793.1) vs A2 (808.1) | 27% / 73% | A2 |
| Match 12 · Lower | A6 (736.2) vs A4 (732.5) | 56% / 44% | A6 |
| Match 13 · Lower Final | A1 (793.1) vs A6 (736.2) | 98% / 2% | A1 |
| Finals | A2 (808.1) vs A1 (793.1) | 73% / 27% | A2 |
Predicted Event Standings
| Place | Alliance | Teams |
|---|---|---|
| 1st 🥇 | A2 | 8044, 1261, 5000, 3176 |
| 2nd 🥈 | A1 | 5687, 2481, 1732, 469 |
| 3rd 🥉 | A6 | 359, 9032, 5712, 4499 |
| 4th | A4 | 10021, 4028, 9401, 5907 |
| 5–6 | A3 | 2056, 67, 1023, 4143 |
| 5–6 | A5 | 3641, 1706, 8608, 8085 |
| 7–8 | A7 | 1720, 1833, 1918, 1792 |
| 7–8 | A8 | 1987, 7457, 195, 7890 |
Captains = top 8 by predicted rank; picks go to the best-available team by EPA+OPR following the event's iri draft order. A pick is predicted to decline only when the selecting captain is clearly weak and the pick would still secure a captaincy with an obviously stronger partner. Playoff results are deterministic (stronger alliance advances); percentages are win probabilities.