OPR RANK SIMULATOR
NE Waterbury 2026 (2026ctwat) — Monte Carlo final rankings from Blue Alliance OPR
โ 1500 simulations
64 played · 0 simulated
Score noise ฯ = 38.2 pts/alliance
Bonus RP rates: RP1 49% | RP2 0% | RP3 6%
All qualification matches are complete โ standings below reflect the finished results, not a projection.
Projected Final Standings
| Proj # | Curr # | Team | OPR | Now RP | Proj RP | Rank range | P(#1) | P(Top 3) | P(Top 8) | P(Alliance) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | #1 | 6328 Mechanical Advantage | 300.1 | 54 | 54.0 | 1โ1 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| #2 | #2 | 176 Aces High | 234.4 | 47 | 47.0 | 2โ2 | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| #3 | #3 | 4909 Bionics | 118.7 | 43 | 43.0 | 3โ3 | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| #4 | #4 | 230 Gaelhawks | 88.7 | 42 | 42.0 | 4โ4 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| #5 | #5 | 7127 LongMetal Robotics | 91.0 | 33 | 33.0 | 5โ5 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| #6 | #6 | 8085 MOJO | 60.4 | 33 | 33.0 | 6โ6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| #7 | #7 | 558 Elm City Robo Squad | 34.7 | 30 | 30.0 | 7โ7 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| #8 | #8 | 228 GUS | 67.4 | 28 | 28.0 | 8โ8 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% |
| #9 | #9 | 10245 WAMS | 17.2 | 28 | 28.0 | 9โ9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #10 | #10 | 1099 DiscoTechs | 20.0 | 27 | 27.0 | 10โ10 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #11 | #11 | 173 RAGE Robotics โ๏ธ | 61.2 | 27 | 27.0 | 11โ11 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #12 | #12 | 10592 Stamford Cyber-Hird TSA | 18.5 | 27 | 27.0 | 12โ12 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #13 | #13 | 8889 Project W | 25.1 | 26 | 26.0 | 13โ13 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #14 | #14 | 3654 TechTigers | 48.8 | 25 | 25.0 | 14โ14 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #15 | #15 | 7153 Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus) | 24.0 | 23 | 23.0 | 15โ15 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #16 | #16 | 6933 Archytas | 30.3 | 21 | 21.0 | 16โ16 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #17 | #17 | 4572 Barlow Robotics | 22.6 | 21 | 21.0 | 17โ17 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #18 | #18 | 999 MechaRAMS | 16.8 | 21 | 21.0 | 18โ18 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #19 | #20 | 5856 Bullbots | 8.9 | 20 | 20.0 | 19โ19 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #20 | #19 | 11464 Lancer Nation Robotics | 11.1 | 20 | 20.0 | 20โ20 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #21 | #21 | 9193 Short-Circuited Eagles | -9.2 | 20 | 20.0 | 21โ21 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #22 | #22 | 2785 Prometheus | 20.9 | 19 | 19.0 | 22โ22 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #23 | #23 | 7694 THE IRON LIONS | 74.4 | 18 | 18.0 | 23โ23 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #24 | #24 | 1071 Team MAX | 21.3 | 17 | 17.0 | 24โ24 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| #25 | #25 | 716 Who'sCTEKS | 4.2 | 17 | 17.0 | 25โ25 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| #26 | #26 | 10133 Manhattan Monsters | 0.9 | 17 | 17.0 | 26โ26 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| #27 | #27 | 11409 Alchemist's Return | 0.5 | 16 | 16.0 | 27โ27 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| #28 | #28 | 2064 The Panther Project | 12.9 | 16 | 16.0 | 28โ28 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| #29 | #29 | 10266 Hopkins Galvanized Goats | 8.8 | 16 | 16.0 | 29โ29 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| #30 | #30 | 7907 Spartan Robotics | -2.6 | 13 | 13.0 | 30โ30 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| #31 | #31 | 2712 Power Surge 4-H Robotics | 3.9 | 11 | 11.0 | 31โ31 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| #32 | #32 | 5746 Human Error | 12.3 | 9 | 9.0 | 32โ32 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Each remaining match is sampled from OPR-predicted alliance scores plus Gaussian noise (ฯ estimated from real score residuals). Bonus ranking points are drawn at the event-average rate since OPR does not predict them. P(Alliance) = probability of finishing in the top 24 (draftable range for 8 alliances of 3).