PLAYOFF PREDICTION
NE Hartford 2026 (2026cthar) — predicted alliance selection & bracket from Monte Carlo (OPR), picks by EPA+OPR
Predicted Alliances
| Seed | Captain OPR (OPR rank) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | EPA+OPR str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 |
571 Paragon Robotics
OPR 194.3 (1)
|
2067 Apple Pi
decline?
OPR 188.9 (2)
|
10245 WAMS
decline?
OPR 24.3 (27)
|
396.4 |
| A2 |
7407 Wired Boars
OPR 179.1 (3)
|
236 Techno-Ticks
decline?
OPR 143.5 (4)
|
11464 Lancer Nation Robotics
decline?
OPR 42.1 (20)
|
343.1 |
| A3 |
1699 Robocats
OPR 136.0 (5)
|
177 Bobcat Robotics
decline?
OPR 127.2 (6)
|
11131 Brainstorm
decline?
OPR 38.8 (23)
|
284.7 |
| A4 |
126 Gael Force
OPR 59.4 (12)
|
3146 GRANBY GRUNTS
decline?
OPR 90.8 (7)
|
1991 The Dragons
decline?
OPR 38.9 (22)
|
182.0 |
| A5 |
178 The 2nd Law Enforcers
OPR 43.9 (19)
|
155 The TechnoNuts
decline?
OPR 80.5 (8)
|
10133 Manhattan Monsters
decline?
OPR 44.9 (18)
|
168.5 |
| A6 |
8889 Project W
OPR 71.0 (9)
|
228 GUS
decline?
OPR 65.2 (10)
|
5142 RoboDominators
decline?
OPR 49.7 (17)
|
176.8 |
| A7 |
181 Birds Of Prey
OPR 41.6 (21)
|
558 Elm City Robo Squad
decline?
OPR 59.3 (13)
|
429 Two Many Bobcats
decline?
OPR 54.3 (14)
|
158.2 |
| A8 |
3461 Operation PEACCE Robotics
OPR 53.5 (15)
|
175 Buzz Robotics
decline?
OPR 60.4 (11)
|
6346 Cybears Robotics Team
decline?
OPR 51.8 (16)
|
163.4 |
Predicted Declines
forced
4628 Sintian Robotics OPR 36.0 (24)
would decline A1 (captain 571 OPR 194.3 (1)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 36.4 vs captain 185.9, best alt 33.9]
forced
2170 Galvanized Guardians OPR 29.6 (25)
would decline A1 (captain 571 OPR 194.3 (1)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 33.9 vs captain 185.9, best alt 29.8]
🏆
Predicted Event Winner
Alliance 1 —
571, 2067, 10245
Playoff Bracket (double elimination)
| Match | Matchup | Win prob | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | A1 (396.4) vs A8 (163.4) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 2 | A4 (182.0) vs A5 (168.5) | 71% / 29% | A4 |
| Match 3 | A2 (343.1) vs A7 (158.2) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 4 | A3 (284.7) vs A6 (176.8) | 100% / 0% | A3 |
| Match 5 · Lower | A8 (163.4) vs A5 (168.5) | 42% / 58% | A5 |
| Match 6 · Lower | A7 (158.2) vs A6 (176.8) | 22% / 78% | A6 |
| Match 7 · Upper | A1 (396.4) vs A4 (182.0) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 8 · Upper | A2 (343.1) vs A3 (284.7) | 98% / 2% | A2 |
| Match 9 · Lower | A5 (168.5) vs A3 (284.7) | 0% / 100% | A3 |
| Match 10 · Lower | A6 (176.8) vs A4 (182.0) | 41% / 59% | A4 |
| Match 11 · Upper Final | A1 (396.4) vs A2 (343.1) | 97% / 3% | A1 |
| Match 12 · Lower | A3 (284.7) vs A4 (182.0) | 100% / 0% | A3 |
| Match 13 · Lower Final | A2 (343.1) vs A3 (284.7) | 98% / 2% | A2 |
| Finals | A1 (396.4) vs A2 (343.1) | 97% / 3% | A1 |
Predicted Event Standings
| Place | Alliance | Teams |
|---|---|---|
| 1st 🥇 | A1 | 571, 2067, 10245 |
| 2nd 🥈 | A2 | 7407, 236, 11464 |
| 3rd 🥉 | A3 | 1699, 177, 11131 |
| 4th | A4 | 126, 3146, 1991 |
| 5–6 | A5 | 178, 155, 10133 |
| 5–6 | A6 | 8889, 228, 5142 |
| 7–8 | A7 | 181, 558, 429 |
| 7–8 | A8 | 3461, 175, 6346 |
Captains = top 8 by predicted rank; picks go to the best-available team by EPA+OPR following the event's snake draft order. A pick is predicted to decline only when the selecting captain is clearly weak and the pick would still secure a captaincy with an obviously stronger partner. Playoff results are deterministic (stronger alliance advances); percentages are win probabilities.