PLAYOFF PREDICTION
2026 NE DCMP - Newsom Division (2026necmp2) — predicted alliance selection & bracket from Monte Carlo (OPR), picks by EPA+OPR
Predicted Alliances
| Seed | Captain OPR (OPR rank) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | EPA+OPR str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 |
6329 The Bucks' Wrath
OPR 288.7 (1)
|
3467 Windham Windup
decline?
OPR 278.8 (2)
|
1100 Inverse Polarity
decline?
OPR 84.2 (27)
|
660.0 |
| A2 |
7407 Wired Boars
OPR 217.0 (5)
|
176 Aces High
decline?
OPR 181.6 (9)
|
7674 RaiderBots
decline?
OPR 99.7 (23)
|
482.1 |
| A3 |
6328 Mechanical Advantage
OPR 225.0 (3)
|
2877 LigerBots
decline?
OPR 196.1 (6)
|
95 Grasshoppers
decline?
OPR 78.2 (29)
|
524.5 |
| A4 |
1699 Robocats
OPR 182.9 (8)
|
238 Crusaders
decline?
OPR 188.9 (7)
|
5422 Stormgears
decline?
OPR 91.8 (25)
|
444.4 |
| A5 |
88 TJ²
OPR 221.0 (4)
|
190 Gompei and the HERD
decline?
OPR 127.1 (15)
|
8013 Boston Lions
decline?
OPR 107.8 (20)
|
457.0 |
| A6 |
1922 Oz-Ram
OPR 158.8 (11)
|
8046 LakerBots
decline?
OPR 157.3 (12)
|
228 GUS
decline?
OPR 118.0 (17)
|
395.5 |
| A7 |
5962 perSEVERE
OPR 87.8 (26)
|
4909 Bionics
decline?
OPR 149.3 (13)
|
8085 MOJO
decline?
OPR 112.9 (18)
|
323.0 |
| A8 |
166 Chop Shop
OPR 176.5 (10)
|
1153 Timberwolves
decline?
OPR 133.6 (14)
|
319 Big Bad Bob
decline?
OPR 122.7 (16)
|
404.2 |
Predicted Declines
forced
6328 Mechanical Advantage OPR 225.0 (3)
would decline A2 (captain 7407 OPR 217.0 (5)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 242.1 vs captain 195.7, best alt 203.9]
forced
88 TJ² OPR 221.0 (4)
would decline A2 (captain 7407 OPR 217.0 (5)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 203.9 vs captain 195.7, best alt 193.1]
forced
166 Chop Shop OPR 176.5 (10)
would decline A5 (captain 88 OPR 221.0 (4)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 154.3 vs captain 203.9, best alt 150.7]
forced
178 The 2nd Law Enforcers OPR 109.7 (19)
would decline A4 (captain 1699 OPR 182.9 (8)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 101.8 vs captain 165.1, best alt 100.3]
forced
2648 Infinite Loop OPR 103.2 (22)
would decline A2 (captain 7407 OPR 217.0 (5)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 95.2 vs captain 195.7, best alt 93.3]
🏆
Predicted Event Winner
Alliance 1 —
6329, 3467, 1100
Playoff Bracket (double elimination)
| Match | Matchup | Win prob | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | A1 (660.0) vs A8 (404.2) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 2 | A4 (444.4) vs A5 (457.0) | 30% / 70% | A5 |
| Match 3 | A2 (482.1) vs A7 (323.0) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 4 | A3 (524.5) vs A6 (395.5) | 100% / 0% | A3 |
| Match 5 · Lower | A8 (404.2) vs A4 (444.4) | 6% / 94% | A4 |
| Match 6 · Lower | A7 (323.0) vs A6 (395.5) | 1% / 99% | A6 |
| Match 7 · Upper | A1 (660.0) vs A5 (457.0) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 8 · Upper | A2 (482.1) vs A3 (524.5) | 6% / 94% | A3 |
| Match 9 · Lower | A4 (444.4) vs A2 (482.1) | 8% / 92% | A2 |
| Match 10 · Lower | A6 (395.5) vs A5 (457.0) | 2% / 98% | A5 |
| Match 11 · Upper Final | A1 (660.0) vs A3 (524.5) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 12 · Lower | A2 (482.1) vs A5 (457.0) | 84% / 16% | A2 |
| Match 13 · Lower Final | A3 (524.5) vs A2 (482.1) | 94% / 6% | A3 |
| Finals | A1 (660.0) vs A3 (524.5) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
Predicted Event Standings
| Place | Alliance | Teams |
|---|---|---|
| 1st 🥇 | A1 | 6329, 3467, 1100 |
| 2nd 🥈 | A3 | 6328, 2877, 95 |
| 3rd 🥉 | A2 | 7407, 176, 7674 |
| 4th | A5 | 88, 190, 8013 |
| 5–6 | A4 | 1699, 238, 5422 |
| 5–6 | A6 | 1922, 8046, 228 |
| 7–8 | A7 | 5962, 4909, 8085 |
| 7–8 | A8 | 166, 1153, 319 |
Captains = top 8 by predicted rank; picks go to the best-available team by EPA+OPR following the event's snake draft order. A pick is predicted to decline only when the selecting captain is clearly weak and the pick would still secure a captaincy with an obviously stronger partner. Playoff results are deterministic (stronger alliance advances); percentages are win probabilities.