PLAYOFF PREDICTION
2026 NE DCMP - Newsom Division (2026necmp2) — predicted alliance selection & bracket from Monte Carlo (OPR), picks by EPA+OPR
Predicted Alliances
| Seed | Captain OPR (OPR rank) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | EPA+OPR str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 |
6329 The Bucks' Wrath
OPR 288.7 (1)
|
6328 Mechanical Advantage
decline?
OPR 225.0 (3)
|
7674 RaiderBots
decline?
OPR 99.7 (23)
|
611.3 |
| A2 |
7407 Wired Boars
OPR 217.0 (5)
|
88 TJ²
decline?
OPR 221.0 (4)
|
2648 Infinite Loop
decline?
OPR 103.2 (22)
|
494.8 |
| A3 |
3467 Windham Windup
OPR 278.8 (2)
|
176 Aces High
decline?
OPR 181.6 (9)
|
95 Grasshoppers
decline?
OPR 78.2 (29)
|
581.5 |
| A4 |
1699 Robocats
OPR 182.9 (8)
|
2877 LigerBots
decline?
OPR 196.1 (6)
|
5422 Stormgears
decline?
OPR 91.8 (25)
|
450.2 |
| A5 |
1922 Oz-Ram
OPR 158.8 (11)
|
166 Chop Shop
decline?
OPR 176.5 (10)
|
178 The 2nd Law Enforcers
decline?
OPR 109.7 (19)
|
401.8 |
| A6 |
238 Crusaders
OPR 188.9 (7)
|
190 Gompei and the HERD
decline?
OPR 127.1 (15)
|
8013 Boston Lions
decline?
OPR 107.8 (20)
|
432.1 |
| A7 |
5962 perSEVERE
OPR 87.8 (26)
|
8046 LakerBots
decline?
OPR 157.3 (12)
|
228 GUS
decline?
OPR 118.0 (17)
|
325.2 |
| A8 |
319 Big Bad Bob
OPR 122.7 (16)
|
1153 Timberwolves
decline?
OPR 133.6 (14)
|
8085 MOJO
decline?
OPR 112.9 (18)
|
361.3 |
Predicted Declines
forced
3467 Windham Windup OPR 278.8 (2)
would decline A1 (captain 6329 OPR 288.7 (1)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 290.9 vs captain 275.9, best alt 242.1]
forced
238 Crusaders OPR 188.9 (7)
would decline A5 (captain 1922 OPR 158.8 (11)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 179.0 vs captain 145.7, best alt 154.3]
forced
4909 Bionics OPR 149.3 (13)
would decline A8 (captain 319 OPR 122.7 (16)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 136.3 vs captain 117.8, best alt 132.1]
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Predicted Event Winner
Alliance 1 —
6329, 6328, 7674
Playoff Bracket (double elimination)
| Match | Matchup | Win prob | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | A1 (611.3) vs A8 (361.3) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 2 | A4 (450.2) vs A5 (401.8) | 96% / 4% | A4 |
| Match 3 | A2 (494.8) vs A7 (325.2) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 4 | A3 (581.5) vs A6 (432.1) | 100% / 0% | A3 |
| Match 5 · Lower | A8 (361.3) vs A5 (401.8) | 6% / 94% | A5 |
| Match 6 · Lower | A7 (325.2) vs A6 (432.1) | 0% / 100% | A6 |
| Match 7 · Upper | A1 (611.3) vs A4 (450.2) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 8 · Upper | A2 (494.8) vs A3 (581.5) | 0% / 100% | A3 |
| Match 9 · Lower | A5 (401.8) vs A2 (494.8) | 0% / 100% | A2 |
| Match 10 · Lower | A6 (432.1) vs A4 (450.2) | 23% / 77% | A4 |
| Match 11 · Upper Final | A1 (611.3) vs A3 (581.5) | 88% / 12% | A1 |
| Match 12 · Lower | A2 (494.8) vs A4 (450.2) | 95% / 5% | A2 |
| Match 13 · Lower Final | A3 (581.5) vs A2 (494.8) | 100% / 0% | A3 |
| Finals | A1 (611.3) vs A3 (581.5) | 88% / 12% | A1 |
Predicted Event Standings
| Place | Alliance | Teams |
|---|---|---|
| 1st ð¥ | A1 | 6329, 6328, 7674 |
| 2nd ð¥ | A3 | 3467, 176, 95 |
| 3rd ð¥ | A2 | 7407, 88, 2648 |
| 4th | A4 | 1699, 2877, 5422 |
| 5â6 | A5 | 1922, 166, 178 |
| 5â6 | A6 | 238, 190, 8013 |
| 7â8 | A7 | 5962, 8046, 228 |
| 7â8 | A8 | 319, 1153, 8085 |
Captains = top 8 by predicted rank; picks go to the best-available team by EPA+OPR following the event's snake draft order. A pick is predicted to decline only when the selecting captain is clearly weak and the pick would still secure a captaincy with an obviously stronger partner. Playoff results are deterministic (stronger alliance advances); percentages are win probabilities.