PLAYOFF PREDICTION
2026 NE DCMP - Newsom Division (2026necmp2) — predicted alliance selection & bracket from Monte Carlo (OPR), picks by EPA+OPR
Predicted Alliances
| Seed | Captain OPR (OPR rank) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | EPA+OPR str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 |
6329 The Bucks' Wrath
OPR 288.7 (1)
|
6328 Mechanical Advantage
decline?
OPR 225.0 (3)
|
2648 Infinite Loop
decline?
OPR 103.2 (22)
|
613.2 |
| A2 |
7407 Wired Boars
OPR 217.0 (5)
|
176 Aces High
decline?
OPR 181.6 (9)
|
95 Grasshoppers
decline?
OPR 78.2 (29)
|
486.4 |
| A3 |
3467 Windham Windup
OPR 278.8 (2)
|
1699 Robocats
decline?
OPR 182.9 (8)
|
5422 Stormgears
decline?
OPR 91.8 (25)
|
556.3 |
| A4 |
88 TJ²
OPR 221.0 (4)
|
166 Chop Shop
decline?
OPR 176.5 (10)
|
178 The 2nd Law Enforcers
decline?
OPR 109.7 (19)
|
460.0 |
| A5 |
1922 Oz-Ram
OPR 158.8 (11)
|
190 Gompei and the HERD
decline?
OPR 127.1 (15)
|
8013 Boston Lions
decline?
OPR 107.8 (20)
|
398.9 |
| A6 |
238 Crusaders
OPR 188.9 (7)
|
8046 LakerBots
decline?
OPR 157.3 (12)
|
228 GUS
decline?
OPR 118.0 (17)
|
428.8 |
| A7 |
5962 perSEVERE
OPR 87.8 (26)
|
4909 Bionics
decline?
OPR 149.3 (13)
|
8085 MOJO
decline?
OPR 112.9 (18)
|
323.0 |
| A8 |
2877 LigerBots
OPR 196.1 (6)
|
1153 Timberwolves
decline?
OPR 133.6 (14)
|
319 Big Bad Bob
decline?
OPR 122.7 (16)
|
434.7 |
Predicted Declines
forced
3467 Windham Windup OPR 278.8 (2)
would decline A1 (captain 6329 OPR 288.7 (1)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 290.9 vs captain 275.9, best alt 242.1]
forced
88 TJ² OPR 221.0 (4)
would decline A2 (captain 7407 OPR 217.0 (5)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 203.9 vs captain 195.7, best alt 193.1]
forced
2877 LigerBots OPR 196.1 (6)
would decline A3 (captain 3467 OPR 278.8 (2)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 184.8 vs captain 290.9, best alt 179.0]
forced
238 Crusaders OPR 188.9 (7)
would decline A3 (captain 3467 OPR 278.8 (2)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 179.0 vs captain 290.9, best alt 165.1]
🏆
Predicted Event Winner
Alliance 1 —
6329, 6328, 2648
Playoff Bracket (double elimination)
| Match | Matchup | Win prob | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | A1 (613.2) vs A8 (434.7) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 2 | A4 (460.0) vs A5 (398.9) | 98% / 2% | A4 |
| Match 3 | A2 (486.4) vs A7 (323.0) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 4 | A3 (556.3) vs A6 (428.8) | 100% / 0% | A3 |
| Match 5 · Lower | A8 (434.7) vs A5 (398.9) | 92% / 8% | A8 |
| Match 6 · Lower | A7 (323.0) vs A6 (428.8) | 0% / 100% | A6 |
| Match 7 · Upper | A1 (613.2) vs A4 (460.0) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 8 · Upper | A2 (486.4) vs A3 (556.3) | 1% / 99% | A3 |
| Match 9 · Lower | A8 (434.7) vs A2 (486.4) | 3% / 97% | A2 |
| Match 10 · Lower | A6 (428.8) vs A4 (460.0) | 11% / 89% | A4 |
| Match 11 · Upper Final | A1 (613.2) vs A3 (556.3) | 98% / 2% | A1 |
| Match 12 · Lower | A2 (486.4) vs A4 (460.0) | 85% / 15% | A2 |
| Match 13 · Lower Final | A3 (556.3) vs A2 (486.4) | 99% / 1% | A3 |
| Finals | A1 (613.2) vs A3 (556.3) | 98% / 2% | A1 |
Predicted Event Standings
| Place | Alliance | Teams |
|---|---|---|
| 1st 🥇 | A1 | 6329, 6328, 2648 |
| 2nd 🥈 | A3 | 3467, 1699, 5422 |
| 3rd 🥉 | A2 | 7407, 176, 95 |
| 4th | A4 | 88, 166, 178 |
| 5–6 | A6 | 238, 8046, 228 |
| 5–6 | A8 | 2877, 1153, 319 |
| 7–8 | A5 | 1922, 190, 8013 |
| 7–8 | A7 | 5962, 4909, 8085 |
Captains = top 8 by predicted rank; picks go to the best-available team by EPA+OPR following the event's snake draft order. A pick is predicted to decline only when the selecting captain is clearly weak and the pick would still secure a captaincy with an obviously stronger partner. Playoff results are deterministic (stronger alliance advances); percentages are win probabilities.