PLAYOFF PREDICTION
NE Granite State (2026nhbed) — predicted alliance selection & bracket from Monte Carlo (OPR), picks by EPA+OPR
Predicted Alliances
| Seed | Captain OPR (OPR rank) | Pick 1 | Pick 2 | EPA+OPR str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A1 |
3467 Windham Windup
OPR 244.8 (1)
|
4909 Bionics
decline?
OPR 135.4 (2)
|
11157 Winnacunnet
decline?
OPR 17.3 (24)
|
387.6 |
| A2 |
95 Grasshoppers
OPR 128.4 (3)
|
1073 The Force Team
decline?
OPR 127.6 (4)
|
8421 CRUSADERS
decline?
OPR 24.1 (23)
|
268.5 |
| A3 |
166 Chop Shop
OPR 97.9 (5)
|
131 CHAOS
decline?
OPR 79.9 (6)
|
9055 Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)
decline?
OPR 14.2 (26)
|
198.2 |
| A4 |
4905 Andromeda One
OPR 50.1 (11)
|
467 Center of Mass
decline?
OPR 73.4 (7)
|
9096 Bad Weather
decline?
OPR 26.7 (22)
|
152.3 |
| A5 |
8724 Mayhem
OPR 70.0 (8)
|
319 Big Bad Bob
decline?
OPR 55.8 (10)
|
811 Wild Cards
decline?
OPR 29.9 (19)
|
164.5 |
| A6 |
3323 Potential Energy
OPR 42.4 (14)
|
58 The Riot Crew
decline?
OPR 48.2 (12)
|
126 Gael Force
decline?
OPR 28.2 (20)
|
131.6 |
| A7 |
7674 RaiderBots
OPR 47.6 (13)
|
509 Red Storm
decline?
OPR 37.1 (15)
|
348 Norwell Robotics
decline?
OPR 33.9 (17)
|
125.0 |
| A8 |
1729 Team Inconceivable!
OPR 63.9 (9)
|
2342 Team Phoenix
decline?
OPR 33.6 (18)
|
138 Entropy
decline?
OPR 27.6 (21)
|
134.5 |
Predicted Declines
forced
8724 Mayhem OPR 70.0 (8)
would decline A4 (captain 4905 OPR 50.1 (11)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 73.3 vs captain 52.0, best alt 73.1]
forced
1729 Team Inconceivable! OPR 63.9 (9)
would decline A5 (captain 8724 OPR 70.0 (8)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 59.7 vs captain 73.3, best alt 57.3]
forced
7314 Tornadoes OPR 36.7 (16)
would decline A8 (captain 1729 OPR 63.9 (9)) & stay a captain
[EPA+OPR: pick 36.3 vs captain 59.7, best alt 36.3]
🏆
Predicted Event Winner
Alliance 1 —
3467, 4909, 11157
Playoff Bracket (double elimination)
| Match | Matchup | Win prob | Predicted winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match 1 | A1 (387.6) vs A8 (134.5) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 2 | A4 (152.3) vs A5 (164.5) | 31% / 69% | A5 |
| Match 3 | A2 (268.5) vs A7 (125.0) | 100% / 0% | A2 |
| Match 4 | A3 (198.2) vs A6 (131.6) | 99% / 1% | A3 |
| Match 5 · Lower | A8 (134.5) vs A4 (152.3) | 23% / 77% | A4 |
| Match 6 · Lower | A7 (125.0) vs A6 (131.6) | 39% / 61% | A6 |
| Match 7 · Upper | A1 (387.6) vs A5 (164.5) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 8 · Upper | A2 (268.5) vs A3 (198.2) | 99% / 1% | A2 |
| Match 9 · Lower | A4 (152.3) vs A3 (198.2) | 5% / 95% | A3 |
| Match 10 · Lower | A6 (131.6) vs A5 (164.5) | 10% / 90% | A5 |
| Match 11 · Upper Final | A1 (387.6) vs A2 (268.5) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
| Match 12 · Lower | A3 (198.2) vs A5 (164.5) | 90% / 10% | A3 |
| Match 13 · Lower Final | A2 (268.5) vs A3 (198.2) | 99% / 1% | A2 |
| Finals | A1 (387.6) vs A2 (268.5) | 100% / 0% | A1 |
Predicted Event Standings
| Place | Alliance | Teams |
|---|---|---|
| 1st 🥇 | A1 | 3467, 4909, 11157 |
| 2nd 🥈 | A2 | 95, 1073, 8421 |
| 3rd 🥉 | A3 | 166, 131, 9055 |
| 4th | A5 | 8724, 319, 811 |
| 5–6 | A4 | 4905, 467, 9096 |
| 5–6 | A6 | 3323, 58, 126 |
| 7–8 | A7 | 7674, 509, 348 |
| 7–8 | A8 | 1729, 2342, 138 |
Captains = top 8 by predicted rank; picks go to the best-available team by EPA+OPR following the event's snake draft order. A pick is predicted to decline only when the selecting captain is clearly weak and the pick would still secure a captaincy with an obviously stronger partner. Playoff results are deterministic (stronger alliance advances); percentages are win probabilities.